Lifetime Risk of Developing or Dying From Cancer


The lifetime risk of developing or dying from cancer refers to the chance a person has, over the course of their lifetime (from birth to death), of being diagnosed with or dying from cancer. These risk estimates are one way to measure of how widespread cancer is in the United States.

The following tables list lifetime risks of developing and dying from certain cancers for men and women in the United States. The information is from the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, and is based on incidence and mortality data in the US from 2017 through 2019, the most recent years for which data are available.

The risk is expressed both in terms of a percentage and as odds.

  • For example, the risk that a man will develop cancer of the pancreas during his lifetime is 1.7%. This means he has about 1 chance in 59 of developing pancreatic cancer (100/1.7 = 59).
  • Put another way, 1 out of every 59 men in the United States will develop pancreatic cancer during his lifetime.

These numbers are average risks for the overall US population. Your risk may be higher or lower than these numbers, depending on your particular risk factors for each type of cancer.

Males

 Risk of developingRisk of dying from
 %1 in%1 in
Any cancer40.9220.25
Bladder (includes in situ)3.86280.9111
Brain and nervous system0.71470.5189
Breast0.1727<0.13,312
Colon and rectum4.3231.7578
Esophagus0.81280.7138
Hodgkin lymphoma0.2435<0.12,899
Kidney and renal pelvis2.3440.6177
Larynx (voice box)0.52000.2570
Leukemia1.8550.9108
Liver and bile duct1.5661.096
Lung and bronchus6.2164.721
Melanoma of the skin*3.5280.4240
Multiple myeloma0.91060.5219
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma2.3430.8128
Oral cavity and pharynx
(mouth and throat)
1.7600.4240
Pancreas1.7591.471
Prostate12.682.441
Stomach1.01020.4246
Testicles0.4246<0.14,966
Thyroid0.61550.11,706

Females

 Risk of developingRisk of dying from
 %1 in%1 in
Any cancer39.1317.76
Bladder (includes in situ)1.1910.3294
Brain and nervous system0.51880.4241
Breast12.982.539
Cervix0.71530.2466
Colon and rectum3.9261.663
Esophagus0.24390.2524
Hodgkin lymphoma0.2532<0.13,819
Kidney and renal pelvis1.3750.3316
Larynx (voice box)0.1852<0.12,346
Leukemia1.3780.7152
Liver and bile duct0.71460.6181
Lung and bronchus5.8174.025
Melanoma of the skin*2.4410.2465
Multiple myeloma0.71340.4275
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma1.9530.6167
Oral cavity and pharynx
(mouth and throat)
0.71410.2537
Ovary1.1880.8123
Pancreas1.6611.473
Stomach0.61570.3359
Thyroid1.7590.11,440
Uterus3.1330.7152

*The risk numbers for melanoma are for non-Hispanic White individuals. The risk among people of other races/ethnicities is likely to be lower.

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