Antimicrobial treatment imprecision: an outcome-based model to close the data-to-action loop


Health-care systems, food supply chains, and society in general are threatened by the inexorable rise of antimicrobial resistance. This threat is driven by many factors, one of which is inappropriate antimicrobial treatment. The ability of policy makers and leaders in health care, public health, regulatory agencies, and research and development to deliver frameworks for appropriate, sustainable antimicrobial treatment is hampered by a scarcity of tangible outcome-based measures of the damage it causes. In this Personal View, a mathematically grounded, outcome-based measure of antimicrobial treatment appropriateness, called imprecision, is proposed. We outline a framework for policy makers and health-care leaders to use this metric to deliver more effective antimicrobial stewardship interventions to future patient pathways. This will be achieved using learning antimicrobial systems built on public and practitioner engagement; solid implementation science; advances in artificial intelligence; and changes to regulation, research, and development. The outcomes of this framework would be more ecologically and organisationally sustainable patterns of antimicrobial development, regulation, and prescribing. We discuss practical, ethical, and regulatory considerations involved in the delivery of novel antimicrobial drug development, and policy and patient pathways built on artificial intelligence-augmented measures of antimicrobial treatment imprecision.

A new class of antibiotics is cause for cautious celebration — but the economics must be fixed


The threat of antimicrobial resistance means that new antibiotics need to be used sparingly. Governments must support their development with a long-term funding plan.

Acinetobacter baumannii is a species of pathogenic bacteria which forms opportunistic infections.
The antibiotic drug candidate zosurabalpin killed multiple resistant strains of Acinetobacter baumannii (pictured) in culture and one fully resistant strain in mice.

The bacterium Acinetobacter baumannii is a portrait of resilience. The microorganism causes a range of infections, and its ability to survive desiccation means it can persist for weeks on hospital air vents, computer keyboards and human skin. Its metabolic and genetic flexibility have allowed it to become resistant to the few antibiotics that can make it through its two protective cell membranes. Antibiotic-resistant microbes kill more than one million people each year. The global threat posed by A. baumannii has put the microbe high on the list of priority pathogens drawn up by the World Health Organization (WHO).

Two studies published on 3 January in Nature report a new class of drug candidates for tackling A. baumannii infections (C. Zampaloni et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06873-0 (2023); K. P. Pahil et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06799-7; 2023). One of these compounds has already made it into clinical trials, but it is still a long way from being approved for clinical use.A new type of antibiotic targets a drug-resistant bacterium

The obstacles for developing such compounds are not just scientific: the economic incentives are insufficient for many companies to take the risk. As the threat of resistance grows, the international community must do more to shepherd promising drugs from bench to bedside.

The new compounds block the bacterium’s ability to shuttle key building blocks to where they are needed, and do so by binding to a novel site in the bacterium — there are other compounds that target this pathway, but A. baumannii is resistant to them. One of the molecules, called zosurabalpin, killed multiple resistant strains of A. baumannii in culture, and, in mice, a strain resistant to all available antimicrobials. The first clinical-trial results for the compound are expected this year.

It is rare to get antibiotics with a new mode of action into the clinic — only one in 30 candidates makes it as far as testing in people. Even when a new drug does get through clinical trials and is approved for use, it is often held in reserve for worst-case scenarios, for fear that widespread use would hasten the day when microbes develop resistance to it.

Clearing the initial phase of clinical trials will be only the beginning. Further studies will then be needed to assess the risk of resistance to zosurabalpin emerging in clinical settings. Then, if the drug is approved, someone will need to pay for it. The commercial market is dismal by design. A new antibiotic often costs more than US$1 billion to develop, but the reluctance to use it widely means that it is likely to earn less than $100 million a year once on the market. The WHO and others have warned governments about the scale of the expense, coupled with the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance. Some governments have responded with incentives to encourage industry to take up the challenge. But there has been much more talk than action.Read the paper: A novel antibiotic class targeting the lipopolysaccharide transporter

The solution, health economists say, is a mix of incentives for new antimicrobial drug development. ‘Push’ strategies are designed to reduce the costs and can include more government funding for early-stage research. ‘Pull’ approaches reward companies for developing successful antibiotics — for example, governments might guarantee a minimum level of purchase, similar to the advanced purchases made of vaccines during the COVID-19 pandemic. Governments have tended to lean more towards push strategies. Economists say they need to do more pulling. But they must also heed lessons learnt from COVID-19 vaccines, such as ensuring that pricing and contracts are transparent, which did not happen during the pandemic.

The United Kingdom has been a leader in this regard. In 2019, it launched a ‘subscription’ programme through which companies are paid a fixed annual fee that is based on a drug’s value to the health-care system, rather than on the number of doses sold. Other countries are considering similar plans. In the United States, a bipartisan team of lawmakers is backing the Pioneering Antimicrobial Subscriptions to End Upsurging Resistance (PASTEUR) Act, which would create a similar programme. But the act has struggled in the US Congress since it was first introduced in 2020. The European Union has also been unable to pass relevant legislation. It is time for governments to move from consideration to action.

Some hesitation is understandable: the subscription model would put further pressure on health-care budgets that are already feeling the strain of drug prices fuelled by high levels of inflation. But there’s another way to look at such payments: as insurance against future health-care crises. If governments can make the market for these drugs viable, that will also encourage companies to invest.

In September, the United Nations General Assembly will host a high-level meeting to discuss antimicrobial resistance — the first such meeting since 2016. This will highlight the problem and offer an opportunity to extract real commitments from member states. The last meeting was transformational in one respect: more than 150 countries agreed to draw up action plans to address antimicrobial resistance.

But an action plan is not the same as taking action — many plans are neither fully implemented nor fully funded. That must change. The discovery of compounds that show promising preclinical activity is precisely what the doctor ordered. But without a strategic funding plan, this prescription could be sitting on the shelf for years. All the while, A. baumannii and its ilk will continue to pose an urgent health-care threat with limited treatment options.

Nature

New Antibiotic Class Discovered That Works against Multidrug-Resistant Bacteria


Woman researcher performing examination of bacterial culture plate
Credit: Manjurul / Getty Images

A new antibiotic class that works against multidrug-resistant bacteria has been discovered, offering new opportunities to tackle these dangerous microbes.

The macrocyclic peptide zosurabalpin showed promising antibacterial activity against Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB), according to two papers published in the journal Nature.

The Gram-negative bacteria is deemed an urgent threat by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and has also been classified as a priority 1 critical pathogen by the World Health Organization.

“The new molecule overcomes the existing drug-resistance mechanisms that the currently available antibiotics are failing to address,” said Kenneth Bradley, global head of infectious disease discovery at Roche pharma research & early development, which worked with Harvard researchers to establish the mechanism of action for the compound.

“With this significant breakthrough, zosurabalpin has the potential to address a major unmet need in the fight against antimicrobial resistance.”

Gram-negative bacteria are particularly difficult to kill because they are encased in both inner and outer membranes that are challenging for most antibiotics to cross. The cytoplasmic membrane is surrounded by an outer membrane containing lipopolysaccharide (LPS), which blocks the entry of most antibiotics.

Zosurabalpin traps this LPS during its transport to the outer membrane by inhibiting a complex of proteins called the LptB2FGC complex.

Specifically, the clinical candidate binds to both LPS and a transport complex that facilitates movement to its destination. The LPS transport complex is trapped in a substrate-bound state, which leaves it unable to move LPS and results in death of the bacterium.

A team led by Claudia Zampaloni, PhD, senior principal scientist in infectious diseases at Roche, initially examined around 45,000 tethered macrocyclic peptides, which have greater molecular weights than most antibiotics.

The researchers identified one that selectively killed A. baumannii, which was further honed for efficacy and tolerability using a new type of test based on blood-plasma compatibility, culminating in the discovery of zosurabalpin.

The drug was effective against more than 100 CRAB clinical samples tested in the lab and in multiple mouse infection models, including sepsis and thigh and lung infection induced by CRAB strains.

In another research article, Karanbir Pahil, PhD, from Harvard University, and colleagues use X-ray techniques to identify structures that show zosurabalpin engages LptB2FGC only when the complex is bound to LPS, indicating the importance of the latter for its action.

The basis for its specificity against A. baumannii lies in this protein complex, explaining why it is ineffective against other bacteria whose Lpt proteins may have different amino-acid sequences.

This previously unknown mode of antibiotic action suggests that pre-existing resistance is unlikely, note Morgan Gugger and Paul Hergenrother, PhD, both from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, in accompanying News and Views article.

They point out that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has not approved any new classes of antibiotic for harmful Gram-negative bacteria in more than 50 years.

“Treatment options for CRAB infections continue to dwindle as mortality rates are rising, with some estimated death rates reaching approximately 50% for invasive infections,” they warn.

The commentators add that zosurabalpin might not have the damaging effect on normal gut microbes seen with most antibiotics,  given its high specificity for A. baumannii.

“The movement towards bacterium-specific antibiotics is a new development, and one that can be facilitated by diagnostics that can rapidly identify specific harmful bacteria in infected individuals,” they wrote.

“Given that zosurabalpin is already being tested in clinical trials, the future looks promising, with the possibility of a new antibiotic class being finally on the horizon for invasive CRAB infections.”