Patients with any combination of diabetes, stroke, or heart attack had a significantly increased risk of mortality than those who had only one of the three conditions, and each additional condition increased the risk exponentially, a large study from the UK has shown.
Compared to a reference group without any history of these cardiometabolic multimorbidities, the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.9, 2.1, and 2.0 for patients with diabetes, stroke, or heart attack, respectively, 3.7 for diabetes and heart attack, 3.8 for diabetes and stroke, 3.5 for stroke and heart attack, and 6.9 – about 7 times greater risk – for people with a history of all three. [JAMA. 2015;314:52-60]
“Our results emphasize the importance of measures to prevent cardiovascular disease in people who already have diabetes and, conversely, to avert diabetes in people who already have cardiovascular disease,” the researchers said.
The analysis included data from 689,300 participants from the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration database at the University of Cambridge in the UK, which included 91 cohorts and baseline surveys collected since 1960. The death tally during the latest follow up in 2013 was 128,843. The comparator group included 499,808 patients since 2006 from the UK Biobank and at the latest follow up in 2013 there were 7,995 deaths.
All cause mortality rate also increased with each cardiometabolic multimorbidity patients had. Per 1,000 person-years adjusted to 60 years of age, the mortality rate was 15.6, 16.1, and 16.8 for patients with a history of diabetes, stroke or heart attack, 32.0 for patients with diabetes and heart attack, 32.5 for patients with diabetes and stroke, 32.8 for patients with stroke and heart attack, and 59.5 for patients with all three morbidities.
The researchers noted that a history of any two conditions was associated with 12 years reduced life expectancy while all three was associated with 15 years of reduced life expectancy, on par with the reduced life expectancy associated with lifelong smoking (10 years) or HIV infection (11 years) and the reduced life expectancy was most severe (23 years reduction) in younger patients who had all three conditions by the age of 40.
The researchers suggested shifting focus to preventive strategies to avoid multimorbidities, which occurred in about 1-3 percent of the cohorts they examined.
“An overemphasis on the substantial reductions in life expectancy estimated for the subpopulation with morbidity could divert attention and resources away from population-wide strategies that aim to improve health for the large majority of the population,” they said.